Faiz Krisnadi

Faiz Krisnadi

Master's in International Affairs

Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy

Resources

Templates, datasets, code, and trackers I maintain for open use.

Templates

Datasets Coming soon

VIID 2025 — Visual Highlights

WTO • Trade • Risk

Trade, Disputes & Risk: quick visuals from my VIID 2025 paper

A five-slide tour: dispute timelines, policy-annotated trade trends, a non-WTO comparator, and how geopolitical risk (GPR) stretches filing lags. Swipe or use the arrows.

DS456 / DS593 Eurostat / USITC UN Comtrade GPR index
Timeline for DS456 and DS593 from consultations to panel report, with adoption markers
Dispute timelines (consultations → panel → report)

DS456 (US–India, solar) progressed 2013–2016. DS593 (Indonesia–EU, palm oil) shows a long panel phase (2020–2025), consistent with pandemic-era disruption.

EU HS1511 imports from Indonesia with markers for RED II, 2019/807, DS593 steps, EUDR, panel report
IDN→EU HS1511 (Palm oil) with policy & WTO markers

Imports peaked mid-2010s, dipped 2015–2016, recovered by 2021, then softened as sustainability rules tightened (RED II 2018, 2019/807, EUDR 2023) while DS593 advanced.

Philippines banana exports to China with shaded March–June 2012 episode
PHL→CHN bananas (HS0803): 2012 maritime/SPS episode

Mar–Jun 2012 inspections/restrictions coincide with a sharp, short-run disruption. No WTO filing; the issue resolved politically and trade later rebounded.

US imports from India, HS854140, with DS456 milestones and US Section 201 safeguard markers
IND→USA solar (HS854140): trend + numbered events

DS456 adoption (Oct 2016) and India’s DCR removal (2017) precede US Section 201 safeguards (2018–2022/extension), which shape much of the later pattern.

Scatter/line showing positive slope between GPR and filing/episode lags
Geopolitical Risk (GPR) vs filing/episode lags

Higher geopolitical risk coincides with longer lags between consultations and panel requests—and a longer episode in the non-WTO case. Exploratory; small N.

Sources: WTO DS456 & DS593 dockets; EU legal acts (RED II, 2019/807, EUDR); UN Comtrade/FAO; USITC DataWeb; Caldara–Iacoviello GPR. See VIID paper for details.